Paulista B Tercera Fase. Jor. 5

Assisense vs Independente SP analysis

Assisense Independente SP
25 ELO 38
-23% Tilt -10.5%
28497º General ELO ranking 22414º
716º Country ELO ranking 532º
ELO win probability
20.7%
Assisense
25.1%
Draw
54.2%
Independente SP

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
Assisense
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.2%
Win probability
Independente SP
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Assisense
Independente SP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Assisense
Assisense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Sep. 2019
ASS
Assisense
1 - 0
Amparo
AMP
20%
21%
59%
24 35 11 0
31 Aug. 2019
AMP
Amparo
1 - 1
Assisense
ASS
63%
19%
17%
23 35 12 +1
24 Aug. 2019
IND
Independente SP
2 - 0
Assisense
ASS
70%
19%
11%
24 37 13 -1
18 Aug. 2019
ASS
Assisense
0 - 2
Paulista
PAU
16%
23%
62%
25 43 18 -1
11 Aug. 2019
NOV
Nova Andradina
1 - 2
Assisense
ASS
49%
23%
28%
24 27 3 +1

Matches

Independente SP
Independente SP
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Sep. 2019
PAU
Paulista
1 - 1
Independente SP
IND
60%
23%
17%
37 43 6 0
31 Aug. 2019
IND
Independente SP
1 - 1
Paulista
PAU
33%
26%
41%
37 44 7 0
24 Aug. 2019
IND
Independente SP
2 - 0
Assisense
ASS
70%
19%
11%
37 24 13 0
17 Aug. 2019
AMP
Amparo
3 - 1
Independente SP
IND
35%
24%
41%
38 34 4 -1
11 Aug. 2019
FRA
Francana
0 - 1
Independente SP
IND
42%
27%
30%
38 36 2 0
X