Assesse vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
19.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ASS
0 - 2
MEU
67%
17%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 3
ASS
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
BEA
1 - 0
ASS
29%
23%
48%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 0
WEP
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ARQ
2 - 0
ASS
46%
22%
33%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
LIG
2 - 7
NIS
34%
23%
43%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
LIG
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ROC
1 - 0
LIG
44%
22%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LIG
1 - 3
AIS
23%
20%
56%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BIE
2 - 4
LIG
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |