Manteigas vs Sourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
61.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manteigas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BEN
4 - 1
MAN
83%
11%
5%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 1
ADN
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 3
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 56 | 38 | +2 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 1
ADM
27%
23%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 3
SER
14%
22%
64%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Sourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 3
SER
21%
25%
54%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
SOU
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
TOU
38%
26%
37%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PAM
2 - 4
SOU
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ADM
2 - 1
SOU
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |