ASPDIF vs Capoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
27.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPDIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAV
0 - 1
ASP
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ASP
1 - 0
GON
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TEM
3 - 0
ASP
54%
26%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
ASC
4 - 0
ASP
49%
27%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ASP
1 - 0
DON
46%
27%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Capoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAP
2 - 1
GON
51%
27%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
DAC
1 - 0
CAP
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CAP
2 - 0
RAC
48%
28%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
ASS
0 - 0
CAP
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CAP
0 - 0
VIC
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |