Cup . Quarter-finals
First-leg 1-4
ASM Oran vs Paradou analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASM Oran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 1
ASM
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SKI
1 - 0
ASM
49%
27%
24%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
ASM
1 - 0
CHL
34%
26%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
ASM
1 - 0
MCS
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ASM
3 - 2
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paradou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
4 - 1
ASM
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 1
USM
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
GUE
0 - 0
PAR
3%
9%
88%
|
72 | 22 | 50 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
CHL
0 - 1
PAR
26%
29%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 1
SAO
57%
25%
19%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |