St. Valentin vs Union Mondsee analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
33.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
11º
6º
38
6º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 96.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ASV
1 - 0
FRI
63%
19%
19%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
1 - 0
ASV
56%
21%
24%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ASV
10 - 0
STA
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
GRU
3 - 1
ASV
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 0
SPG
56%
21%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Union Mondsee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
UMA
3 - 1
36%
23%
41%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
STA
0 - 3
UMA
7%
13%
81%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
UMA
1 - 1
GRU
46%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
1 - 2
UMA
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
UMA
5 - 2
WEL
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |