St. Valentin vs Zebau Bad Ischl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
41.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
11º
6º
36
3º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 55.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 44.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SVW
1 - 0
ASV
55%
20%
25%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
UMA
2 - 3
ASV
51%
21%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 2
SVZ
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
OED
2 - 0
ASV
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
ASV
1 - 3
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zebau Bad Ischl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SVZ
2 - 0
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
SVZ
2 - 3
WEA
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 2
SVZ
41%
22%
37%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SVZ
3 - 2
SPG
45%
22%
33%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
SVP
0 - 4
SVZ
39%
21%
39%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |