St. Valentin vs Ostermiething analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-58%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
4º
11º
6º
28
9º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
UNP
1 - 1
ASV
27%
23%
50%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
ASV
2 - 0
STM
26%
23%
51%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 0
ASV
40%
23%
37%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ASV
6 - 1
SVZ
37%
21%
41%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SVW
1 - 0
ASV
55%
20%
25%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Ostermiething
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
OST
1 - 1
UNI
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
STA
0 - 11
OST
19%
18%
63%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
OST
2 - 2
GRU
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SPG
3 - 0
OST
65%
18%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
OST
0 - 3
WEL
14%
17%
70%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | -1 |