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FA Cup. Qualifying round

Ashton United vs Squires Gate analysis

Ashton United Squires Gate
27 ELO 49
60% Tilt 425%
6034º General ELO ranking 2371º
663º Country ELO ranking 563º
ELO win probability
2.8%
Ashton United
3.5%
Draw
93.8%
Squires Gate

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.8%
Win probability
Ashton United
1.83
Expected goals
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
<0%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
<0%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
<0%
2-1
0.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
1.7%
3.5%
Draw
0-0
<0%
1-1
0.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.4%
6-6
0.1%
7-7
<0%
0
3.5%
93.8%
Win probability
Squires Gate
6.63
Expected goals
0-1
0.1%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
1.1%
5-6
0.4%
6-7
0.1%
7-8
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
2.3%
4-6
1.2%
5-7
0.4%
6-8
0.1%
7-9
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
3.8%
3-6
2.6%
4-7
1.1%
5-8
0.3%
6-9
0.1%
7-10
0%
-3
12%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
4.2%
3-7
2.4%
4-8
0.9%
5-9
0.2%
6-10
0.1%
-4
13.7%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
4.6%
2-7
4%
3-8
2%
4-9
0.7%
5-10
0.2%
6-11
0%
-5
13.7%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
4.3%
2-8
3.3%
3-9
1.5%
4-10
0.4%
5-11
0.1%
6-12
0%
-6
12.1%
0-7
2.4%
1-8
3.6%
2-9
2.4%
3-10
1%
4-11
0.3%
5-12
0.1%
-7
9.7%
0-8
2%
1-9
2.6%
2-10
1.6%
3-11
0.6%
4-12
0.1%
5-13
0%
-8
7%
0-9
1.4%
1-10
1.8%
2-11
1%
3-12
0.3%
4-13
0.1%
5-14
0%
-9
4.6%
0-10
1%
1-11
1.1%
2-12
0.5%
3-13
0.2%
4-14
0%
-10
2.7%
0-11
0.6%
1-12
0.6%
2-13
0.3%
3-14
0.1%
4-15
0%
-11
1.5%
0-12
0.3%
1-13
0.3%
2-14
0.1%
3-15
0%
-12
0.8%