Ashington AFC vs Carlisle City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.4%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
ASH
21%
20%
59%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ASH
4 - 0
WES
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
ASH
4 - 0
RAF
75%
14%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GUI
0 - 1
ASH
35%
22%
43%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PIC
2 - 1
ASH
11%
16%
73%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | -2 |
Matches
Carlisle City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GUI
3 - 3
CCF
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
CCF
0 - 1
CEL
28%
21%
50%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CCF
0 - 3
THO
56%
20%
24%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CCF
2 - 1
CRO
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RAF
1 - 1
CCF
63%
18%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |