FA Cup . Previa 2
Global 5-3
Ashford Town vs Northwood analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ashford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
HAN
1 - 1
ASH
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ASH
0 - 1
BIN
27%
22%
51%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 8
ASH
70%
17%
13%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
BEA
3 - 3
ASH
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SCR
1 - 0
ASH
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
BED
0 - 1
NOR
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 2
TOO
64%
20%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NOR
2 - 1
SOU
33%
24%
43%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
NOR
4 - 1
HAN
17%
22%
61%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
NOR
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |