Asheville City vs Tri-Cities analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Asheville City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 0
TSC
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
ASC
7 - 1
SCU
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 0
TRI
68%
17%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 3
OKS
41%
25%
34%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
TSC
0 - 3
ASC
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Tri-Cities
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 0
DRW
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
TRI
2 - 0
SSA
57%
21%
23%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
TRI
1 - 0
SGT
8%
16%
76%
|
29 | 52 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
ASC
1 - 0
TRI
68%
17%
14%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 3
SCU
36%
23%
41%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |