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Serie D. Group I, Matchday 20

Santa Maria Cilento Castrovillari
24 ELO 18
44% Tilt 30%
4302º General ELO ranking 5251º
158º Country ELO ranking 243º
ELO win probability
55%
Santa Maria Cilento
21.6%
Draw
23.4%
Castrovillari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
Santa Maria Cilento
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.4%
Win probability
Castrovillari
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Santa Maria Cilento
+21%
-4%
Castrovillari

Points and table prediction

Santa Maria Cilento
Their league position
Castrovillari
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
17º
11º
31
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Messina
60
71
87%
Città di Messina
56
65
34%
Gelbison
52
63
46%
San Luca
48
56
30%
Acireale
45
56
31%
Biancavilla
40
49
15%
Dattilo
39
50
16%
Rotonda
39
47
10%
Licata
36
48
10%
Santa Maria Cilento
10º
34
45
11º
12%
A.S.D. Paternò 1908
11º
34
40
12º
11%
Cittanovese
12º
33
46
10º
10%
Castrovillari
13º
31
39
13º
15%
Troina
14º
31
35
16º
17%
Rende
15º
30
37
14º
19%
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
16º
29
35
15º
14%
Marina di Ragusa
17º
23
32
17º
49%
Roccella
18º
15
21
18º
97%
Expected probabilities
Santa Maria Cilento
Castrovillari
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
2% 0%
Mid-table
71% 31%
Relegation playoffs
26% 60%
Relegation
1% 9%

ELO progression

Castrovillari
USC
Santa Maria Cilento
SMC
San Luca
LUC
Città di Messina
CIT
Cittanovese
CCI
Messina
MES
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santa Maria Cilento
Santa Maria Cilento
1%
X%
2%
ELO SMC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2021
ROT
Rotonda
0 - 0
Santa Maria Cilento
SMC
46%
27%
27%
301 271 -30 0
21 Feb. 2021
SMC
Santa Maria Cilento
0 - 1
Gelbison
GEL
49%
26%
25%
303 190 113 -2
14 Feb. 2021
SMC
Santa Maria Cilento
3 - 0
Cittanovese
CCI
47%
27%
26%
300 258 42 +2
07 Feb. 2021
ACI
Acireale
2 - 1
Santa Maria Cilento
SMC
46%
27%
28%
302 318 16 -1
03 Feb. 2021
SMC
Santa Maria Cilento
3 - 0
Biancavilla
BIA
46%
27%
28%
299 287 12 +3

Matches

Castrovillari
Castrovillari
1%
X%
2%
ELO USC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2021
USC
Castrovillari
0 - 1
A.S.D. Paternò 1908
PAT
36%
27%
37%
251 704 -453 -1
21 Feb. 2021
DAT
Dattilo
1 - 1
Castrovillari
USC
47%
27%
26%
251 296 45 0
14 Feb. 2021
LIC
Licata
2 - 1
Castrovillari
USC
53%
25%
22%
252 438 186 -1
14 Mar. 2021
CCI
Cittanovese
2 - 4
Castrovillari
USC
46%
27%
28%
252 258 6 0
07 Apr. 2021
USC
Castrovillari
2 - 0
Roccella
ROC
47%
27%
26%
252 219 33 0