Vastogirardi vs Team Nuova Florida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
17º
10º
42
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 47 |
7º
|
84.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
74.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
43% | |
|
|
10º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 43 |
11º
|
46.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
89.5% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
86.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 32 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 32 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
39% | |
|
18º
|
28 | 29 |
18º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 3
VAS
31%
24%
45%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VAS
1 - 1
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 1
CYN
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
VAS
30%
25%
45%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 1
SSS
35%
27%
38%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Team Nuova Florida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
TNF
0 - 1
MAT
35%
24%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
FAN
0 - 2
TNF
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
TER
2 - 0
TNF
43%
22%
34%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
TNF
1 - 0
ASD
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RCF
1 - 0
TNF
21%
20%
59%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -2 |