Vastogirardi vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
21%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-65%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastogirardi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
VAS
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
VAS
0 - 0
SFF
47%
22%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
OLY
1 - 1
VAS
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
VAS
1 - 0
RIE
27%
21%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
PIN
2 - 1
VAS
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
APR
3 - 3
ASD
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
5 - 0
APR
69%
19%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
0 - 0
APR
59%
20%
21%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
APR
2 - 1
UST
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
APR
1 - 4
CAS
33%
22%
45%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |