Vastese vs SN Notaresco 2018 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
ASD
24%
24%
51%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 3
MAT
54%
25%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ASD
2 - 0
CAS
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 1
ASD
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
FAN
55%
25%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
POR
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VAS
2 - 0
SAN
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 0
NER
81%
12%
7%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TRA
4 - 1
SAN
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
SFF
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |