Vastese vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
SEL
0 - 1
ASD
16%
19%
65%
|
34 | 19 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 1
UST
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CYN
1 - 1
ASD
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
ASD
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 1
VAS
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
SFF
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
REC
2 - 2
VAS
54%
20%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 1
REC
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 4
REC
28%
26%
47%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
REC
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |