Vastese vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
41.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 0
ASD
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
2 - 2
SAM
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MAT
4 - 2
ASD
78%
13%
8%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SSC
1 - 0
ASD
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ASD
3 - 0
AVE
25%
22%
54%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
MON
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 2
FRA
29%
27%
45%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
3 - 1
PIN
37%
22%
41%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 2
GIU
68%
19%
14%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
FRA
2 - 1
MON
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |