Troina vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LIC
0 - 0
ASD
66%
19%
16%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
REN
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 1
LUC
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
DAT
2 - 1
ASD
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ROC
1 - 0
ASD
35%
26%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
USC
1 - 0
BIA
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
45%
24%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
USC
1 - 1
CSA
54%
22%
25%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 0
USC
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
USC
3 - 1
REN
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |