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Serie D. Group I, Matchday 21

Troina vs Acireale analysis

Troina Acireale
24 ELO 24
-5% Tilt 32%
6622º General ELO ranking 5899º
212º Country ELO ranking 160º
ELO win probability
35.9%
Troina
26%
Draw
38%
Acireale

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
Troina
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38%
Win probability
Acireale
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Troina
+1%
+63%
Acireale

Points and table prediction

Troina
Their league position
Acireale
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
10º
43
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Palermo FC
63
76
83%
FC Savoia 1908
56
68
47%
SSC Giugliano
47
59
18%
Città di Messina
46
59
17%
Troina
46
57
19%
Acireale
43
57
17%
Licata
41
53
17%
Messina
36
46
15%
Nola 1925
36
45
10º
14%
Biancavilla
10º
35
44
12º
14%
Cittanovese
11º
33
46
13%
Castrovillari
12º
32
44
11º
12%
Marina di Ragusa
13º
28
38
13º
17%
Roccella
14º
25
33
15º
17%
ASD Corigliano
15º
25
32
16º
19%
Marsala
16º
24
35
14º
17%
San Tommaso
17º
21
31
17º
28%
Palmese
18º
12
20
18º
92%
Expected probabilities
Troina
Acireale
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
62% 66%
Mid-table
38% 34%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Acireale
ACI
Troina
ASD
Marsala
MAR
San Tommaso
STO
Messina
MES
Castrovillari
USC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Troina
Troina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ASD ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2020
PAL
Palmese
1 - 0
Troina
ASD
41%
28%
30%
306 242 -64 -2
12 Jan. 2020
ASD
Troina
1 - 0
SSC Giugliano
SSC
45%
27%
28%
305 292 13 +1
05 Jan. 2020
MES
Messina
1 - 2
Troina
ASD
46%
27%
26%
303 367 64 +2
22 Dec. 2019
PAL
Palermo FC
0 - 0
Troina
ASD
51%
26%
23%
303 457 154 0
15 Dec. 2019
ASD
Troina
0 - 1
FC Savoia 1908
FCS
41%
28%
30%
305 375 -70 -1

Matches

Acireale
Acireale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ACI ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2020
ACI
Acireale
3 - 1
Castrovillari
USC
46%
27%
26%
310 250 60 +2
12 Jan. 2020
ACI
Acireale
3 - 1
Messina
MES
46%
27%
28%
308 365 -57 +2
05 Jan. 2020
PAL
Palmese
1 - 2
Acireale
ACI
41%
28%
30%
306 245 -61 +1
22 Dec. 2019
FCS
FC Savoia 1908
4 - 2
Acireale
ACI
46%
27%
26%
308 377 69 -2
15 Dec. 2019
ACI
Acireale
2 - 3
SSC Giugliano
SSC
47%
27%
26%
310 288 22 -2