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Serie D. Group G, Matchday 20

Team Nuova Florida Muravera
21 ELO 19
-10% Tilt 47%
4829º General ELO ranking 5025º
209º Country ELO ranking 228º
ELO win probability
31.6%
Team Nuova Florida
25.2%
Draw
43.2%
Muravera

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
Team Nuova Florida
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.2%
Win probability
Muravera
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Team Nuova Florida
-23%
+23%
Muravera

Basic stats

1
1
GF
1
1
GC
21
19
ELO
1.3
1.5
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Team Nuova Florida
Their league position
Muravera
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
10º
16º
12º
42
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Nuova Monterosi
70
77
100%
Latina
52
65
60%
Vis Artena
51
62
54%
Nocerina
47
54
33%
FC Savoia 1908
46
53
27%
Muravera
42
50
14%
Insieme Formia
41
48
15%
Carbonia
41
47
15%
Lanusei
40
49
14%
Cassino
10º
37
46
10º
23%
Team Nuova Florida
11º
34
41
12º
32%
Latte Dolce
12º
33
41
11º
29%
Arzachena
13º
29
38
13º
15%
Nola 1925
14º
28
32
15º
20%
Gladiator
15º
27
32
17º
19%
Sassari Torres
16º
27
32
16º
22%
Afragolese
17º
26
32
14º
20%
SSC Giugliano
18º
17
23
18º
95%
Expected probabilities
Team Nuova Florida
Muravera
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 27%
Mid-table
80% 73%
Relegation playoffs
19% 1%
Relegation
2% 0%

ELO progression

Muravera
MUR
Team Nuova Florida
TNF
Vis Artena
VIS
Nola 1925
HYR
Gladiator
GLA
Latina
LAT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Team Nuova Florida
Team Nuova Florida
1%
X%
2%
ELO TNF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Apr. 2021
VIS
Vis Artena
0 - 2
Team Nuova Florida
TNF
47%
27%
26%
275 296 21 0
21 Apr. 2021
TNF
Team Nuova Florida
0 - 0
Afragolese
AFR
45%
27%
28%
275 279 -4 0
17 Mar. 2021
TNF
Team Nuova Florida
0 - 0
FC Savoia 1908
FCS
42%
28%
31%
275 396 -121 0
07 Apr. 2021
SSC
Cassino
1 - 1
Team Nuova Florida
TNF
45%
27%
28%
275 285 10 0
03 Feb. 2021
TNF
Team Nuova Florida
2 - 0
Latte Dolce
ULD
45%
27%
28%
273 257 16 +2

Matches

Muravera
Muravera
1%
X%
2%
ELO MUR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2021
MUR
Muravera
2 - 0
Latte Dolce
ULD
45%
27%
28%
260 255 5 +2
21 Feb. 2021
LAN
Lanusei
2 - 1
Muravera
MUR
45%
27%
28%
261 268 7 -1
14 Feb. 2021
SAS
Sassari Torres
0 - 2
Muravera
MUR
45%
27%
28%
259 257 -2 +2
03 Mar. 2021
MUR
Muravera
0 - 1
Latina
LAT
41%
28%
31%
259 335 -76 0
07 Feb. 2021
MUR
Muravera
3 - 2
Arzachena
ARZ
45%
27%
28%
257 237 20 +1