Team Nuova Florida vs Afragolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Team Nuova Florida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SAS
0 - 1
TNF
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
TNF
0 - 2
LAN
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NOC
1 - 2
TNF
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SSC
1 - 1
TNF
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
TNF
3 - 3
ARZ
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Afragolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
AFR
0 - 1
HYR
38%
24%
38%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
MUR
4 - 0
AFR
60%
21%
20%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AFR
0 - 2
SAS
45%
23%
32%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
SSC
0 - 0
AFR
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
AFR
2 - 1
ULD
32%
23%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |