Spezia vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
22.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
FRO
1 - 1
SPE
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
SPE
1 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 3
SPE
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
SPE
3 - 3
VIR
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 0
SPE
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 2
CTT
52%
26%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
AVE
34%
29%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
BRE
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
TRA
4 - 1
AVE
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 0
BOL
34%
29%
37%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |