Serie A . Jor. 35

Spezia vs Napoli analysis

Spezia Napoli
75 ELO 89
7% Tilt -3.7%
709º General ELO ranking 25º
29º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
16.9%
Spezia
22.6%
Draw
60.6%
Napoli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
Spezia
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.6%
Win probability
Napoli
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Spezia
-10%
-11%
Napoli

ELO progression

Spezia
Napoli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Spezia
Spezia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 May. 2021
VER
Hellas Verona
1 - 1
Spezia
SPE
51%
24%
25%
75 77 2 0
24 Apr. 2021
GEN
Genoa
2 - 0
Spezia
SPE
51%
24%
24%
75 77 2 0
21 Apr. 2021
SPE
Spezia
1 - 1
Inter
INT
12%
21%
67%
75 92 17 0
18 Apr. 2021
BOL
Bologna
4 - 1
Spezia
SPE
49%
25%
27%
76 76 0 -1
10 Apr. 2021
SPE
Spezia
3 - 2
Crotone
CRO
57%
23%
20%
75 68 7 +1

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2021
NAP
Napoli
1 - 1
Cagliari
CAG
79%
14%
7%
89 75 14 0
26 Apr. 2021
TOR
Torino
0 - 2
Napoli
NAP
27%
24%
49%
89 81 8 0
22 Apr. 2021
NAP
Napoli
5 - 2
Lazio
LAZ
53%
23%
24%
88 87 1 +1
18 Apr. 2021
NAP
Napoli
1 - 1
Inter
INT
34%
25%
40%
88 92 4 0
11 Apr. 2021
SAM
Sampdoria
0 - 2
Napoli
NAP
24%
24%
52%
88 79 9 0
X