Spezia vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 3
JUV
11%
19%
70%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VNZ
1 - 2
SPE
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
SPE
0 - 1
UDI
40%
26%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
LAZ
6 - 1
SPE
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
CAG
2 - 2
SPE
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
ACM
2 - 0
VNZ
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 1
ACM
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 2
ACM
58%
22%
19%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACM
2 - 0
LAZ
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ACM
4 - 1
CAG
76%
16%
8%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |