Spezia vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 1
SPE
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 1
SAL
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
VER
4 - 0
SPE
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 2
ACM
17%
23%
61%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 3
JUV
11%
19%
70%
|
75 | 92 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 2
GEN
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
GEN
2 - 2
SAS
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SAL
1 - 0
GEN
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
GEN
3 - 3
VER
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 2
GEN
44%
24%
31%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |