Serie B Playoffs . Final
Global 1-1
Spezia vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
FRO
0 - 1
SPE
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2020 |
SPE
3 - 1
CHI
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
SPE
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 2
SPE
40%
26%
33%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2020 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACD
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
FRO
0 - 1
SPE
47%
25%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
POR
0 - 2
FRO
43%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
FRO
0 - 1
POR
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2020 |
CTT
2 - 3
FRO
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2020 |
FRO
1 - 1
PIS
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |