Sasso Marconi vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
57.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
PRO
3 - 2
ASD
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 2
MEZ
32%
25%
44%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CRE
2 - 2
ASD
64%
20%
17%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ASD
2 - 0
FAN
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +3 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAN
5 - 1
ASD
87%
10%
3%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 1
FAN
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LEN
0 - 2
FIO
41%
27%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOR
53%
24%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 1
FIO
34%
24%
42%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
FIO
3 - 1
USD
57%
22%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |