Sasso Marconi vs Bagnolese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sasso Marconi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ACP
2 - 2
ASD
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MEZ
1 - 1
ASD
55%
22%
23%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
ASD
3 - 2
PRO
21%
21%
59%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
LEN
14%
22%
64%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
RIM
4 - 1
ASD
72%
17%
11%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 1
GHI
36%
25%
40%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
USR
1 - 2
BAG
58%
24%
18%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BAG
0 - 0
LEN
15%
22%
64%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
BAG
1 - 2
PRO
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAG
58%
22%
20%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |