San Luca vs Rende analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
LIC
1 - 0
LUC
51%
21%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
LUC
0 - 0
SMC
44%
22%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 0
USC
50%
21%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAT
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
DAT
0 - 1
LUC
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
REN
0 - 2
ROC
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PAT
4 - 1
REN
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
REN
0 - 1
CIT
37%
29%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
USC
3 - 1
REN
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
REN
1 - 1
ROT
65%
20%
16%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |