San Luca vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
LUC
31%
23%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
LUC
2 - 1
LIC
54%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LUC
5 - 2
DAT
47%
22%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 1
LUC
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LUC
3 - 1
ASD
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
MES
0 - 0
SMC
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 2
MES
32%
27%
41%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
MES
2 - 1
DAT
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
USC
1 - 3
MES
24%
28%
48%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
MES
5 - 1
ROC
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | +1 |