San Luca vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAT
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
DAT
0 - 1
LUC
49%
21%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ROC
2 - 3
LUC
30%
23%
48%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
LUC
3 - 2
GEL
47%
22%
30%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CIT
2 - 1
LUC
58%
20%
21%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
USC
3 - 1
REN
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
USC
1 - 1
SMC
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
PAT
1 - 2
USC
72%
17%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
USC
1 - 1
DAT
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
USC
0 - 2
ROC
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |