San Luca vs Marina di Ragusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
LUC
1 - 1
MES
36%
27%
38%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 0
LUC
31%
23%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
LUC
2 - 1
LIC
54%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LUC
5 - 2
DAT
47%
22%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 1
LUC
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Marina di Ragusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 1
MDR
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
USC
3 - 1
MDR
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
MDR
3 - 2
ROC
69%
18%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
GEL
2 - 1
MDR
65%
20%
15%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
MDR
3 - 3
CIT
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +1 |