ASD Sambiase vs Noto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
FOR
0 - 0
ASD
56%
23%
22%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
MES
1 - 3
ASD
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 3
SPC
51%
24%
24%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
EBO
1 - 0
ASD
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
ASD
2 - 1
CAS
44%
26%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 1
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
TUR
1 - 2
NOT
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 0
HYR
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FOR
2 - 1
NOT
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
NOT
3 - 3
VAL
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |