ASD Sambiase vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 1
EBO
37%
26%
38%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
CAS
1 - 0
ASD
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 0
GSM
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
FCR
1 - 0
ASD
28%
25%
48%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -2 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
ASD
5 - 1
MOD
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MES
2 - 0
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
TUR
2 - 2
MES
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
MES
4 - 0
HYR
81%
14%
6%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
MES
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
MES
0 - 1
FOR
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |