ASD Sambiase vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
55.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Sambiase
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
ASR
3 - 1
ASD
47%
25%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
ASD
0 - 1
ASD
54%
23%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
VIR
2 - 1
ASD
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ASD
1 - 0
GSM
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
AVE
2 - 2
ASD
77%
16%
8%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
MES
5 - 0
ACA
79%
15%
6%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
NIS
2 - 1
MES
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
MES
21%
25%
54%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
MES
1 - 1
FCR
72%
18%
10%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
MES
3 - 1
USC
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |