Rotonda vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rotonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SMC
4 - 0
ROT
68%
18%
15%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ROT
3 - 0
ASD
37%
23%
40%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +3 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ROT
1 - 3
MES
38%
24%
38%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
ROT
83%
13%
4%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ROT
2 - 2
SAN
47%
22%
31%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MES
1 - 0
BIA
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CCI
2 - 2
MES
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MES
3 - 2
LIC
27%
22%
51%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +4 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ROC
3 - 1
MES
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MES
2 - 0
CCI
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |