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Serie D. Group I, Matchday 14

Rotonda vs Castrovillari analysis

Rotonda Castrovillari
20 ELO 19
-12% Tilt 70%
6861º General ELO ranking 7491º
254º Country ELO ranking 289º
ELO win probability
26.7%
Rotonda
23.5%
Draw
49.7%
Castrovillari

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
Rotonda
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
49.7%
Win probability
Castrovillari
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rotonda
-30%
+7%
Castrovillari

Points and table prediction

Rotonda
Their league position
Castrovillari
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
14º
41
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Messina
74
74
100%
Città di Messina
72
72
100%
Gelbison
64
64
100%
San Luca
58
58
100%
Acireale
57
57
100%
Dattilo
52
52
100%
Rotonda
49
49
100%
Biancavilla
47
47
100%
Santa Maria Cilento
45
45
100%
Licata
10º
43
43
10º
100%
Castrovillari
11º
41
41
11º
100%
A.S.D. Paternò 1908
12º
39
39
12º
50%
Cittanovese
13º
39
39
13º
50%
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
14º
36
36
14º
50%
Troina
15º
36
36
15º
50%
Rende
16º
34
34
16º
100%
Marina di Ragusa
17º
33
33
17º
100%
Roccella
18º
20
20
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rotonda
Castrovillari
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Castrovillari
USC
Rotonda
ROT
Cittanovese
CCI
Marina di Ragusa
MDR
Licata
LIC
Rende
REN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rotonda
Rotonda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ROT ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2021
ACI
Acireale
0 - 0
Rotonda
ROT
46%
27%
26%
268 318 50 0
23 Dec. 2020
ROT
Rotonda
1 - 0
Licata
LIC
42%
27%
31%
268 439 -171 0
20 Dec. 2020
BIA
Biancavilla
1 - 0
Rotonda
ROT
47%
27%
26%
268 289 21 0
13 Dec. 2020
ROT
Rotonda
2 - 1
Cittanovese
CCI
45%
27%
28%
268 263 5 0
01 Nov. 2020
CSA
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
2 - 1
Rotonda
ROT
47%
27%
26%
270 291 21 -1

Matches

Castrovillari
Castrovillari
1%
X%
2%
ELO USC ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2021
ASD
Troina
0 - 1
Castrovillari
USC
46%
27%
26%
255 302 47 0
17 Feb. 2021
MDR
Marina di Ragusa
2 - 1
Castrovillari
USC
45%
27%
28%
253 273 20 0
23 Dec. 2020
USC
Castrovillari
1 - 0
Biancavilla
BIA
46%
27%
27%
253 289 -36 0
20 Dec. 2020
MES
Messina
1 - 0
Castrovillari
USC
49%
26%
25%
253 362 109 0
13 Dec. 2020
USC
Castrovillari
1 - 1
Cittá Di Sant'Agata
CSA
46%
27%
27%
253 292 -39 0