Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
69.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Porto Sant'Elpidio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 4
APR
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PIN
2 - 1
SEL
75%
16%
9%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
SEL
0 - 3
VAS
12%
16%
72%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
UST
4 - 0
SEL
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
SEL
85%
10%
5%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
UST
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
MON
45%
22%
33%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
PIN
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 1
MON
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
CAS
31%
26%
43%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |