ASD Pontevecchio vs Bastia Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASD Pontevecchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
TOD
0 - 1
ASD
44%
25%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 2
PIA
36%
25%
38%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
CAS
4 - 0
ASD
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
ASD
0 - 1
ASD
40%
26%
34%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
DER
2 - 1
ASD
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 0
FIE
40%
24%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
TOD
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ARZ
0 - 2
BAS
84%
12%
5%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAS
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
PIA
22%
23%
55%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +2 |