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Serie D. Group H, Matchday 30

Molfetta Calcio Taranto
23 ELO 33
36% Tilt 8%
4640º General ELO ranking 3076º
177º Country ELO ranking 98º
ELO win probability
51.6%
Molfetta Calcio
23.3%
Draw
25.1%
Taranto

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
Molfetta Calcio
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.1%
Win probability
Taranto
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Molfetta Calcio
+37%
-6%
Taranto

Basic stats

1
3
GF
3
1
GC
23
33
ELO
1.8
1.2
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Molfetta Calcio
Their league position
Taranto
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
18º
10º
69
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Taranto
69
69
100%
Picerno
68
68
100%
Fidelis Andria
61
61
100%
USD Bitonto
55
55
50%
Virtus Casarano
55
55
50%
Lavello
54
54
100%
Audace Cerignola
52
52
100%
Nardò
49
49
100%
Team Altamura
47
47
100%
Molfetta Calcio
10º
42
42
10º
100%
Sorrento
11º
41
41
11º
100%
Gravina
12º
35
35
12º
33%
Città di Fasano
13º
35
35
13º
33%
Brindisi
14º
35
35
14º
33%
FC Francavilla 1931
15º
34
34
15º
33%
Aversa Normanna
16º
34
34
16º
33%
Portici
17º
34
34
17º
33%
Atletico Puteolana
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Molfetta Calcio
Taranto
Champion
0% 100%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Taranto
TAR
Molfetta Calcio
MOL
Nardò
NAR
Team Altamura
ASD
Lavello
LAV
Fidelis Andria
FIA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Molfetta Calcio
Molfetta Calcio
1%
X%
2%
ELO MOL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2021
MOL
Molfetta Calcio
5 - 2
Aversa Normanna
SFA
46%
27%
27%
296 306 -10 +3
02 May. 2021
MOL
Molfetta Calcio
3 - 4
Città di Fasano
ASF
47%
27%
26%
298 240 58 -2
18 Apr. 2021
VIR
Virtus Casarano
1 - 1
Molfetta Calcio
MOL
47%
27%
26%
298 380 82 0
11 Apr. 2021
PUT
Atletico Puteolana
0 - 3
Molfetta Calcio
MOL
46%
27%
27%
295 276 -19 +3
06 Apr. 2021
ASD
Team Altamura
3 - 1
Molfetta Calcio
MOL
46%
27%
27%
295 284 -11 0

Matches

Taranto
Taranto
1%
X%
2%
ELO TAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2021
FIA
Fidelis Andria
1 - 1
Taranto
TAR
41%
28%
31%
445 353 -92 0
28 Apr. 2021
SFA
Aversa Normanna
0 - 0
Taranto
TAR
42%
28%
31%
443 309 -134 0
18 Apr. 2021
ASF
Città di Fasano
1 - 2
Taranto
TAR
40%
28%
32%
444 241 -203 +1
14 Apr. 2021
TAR
Taranto
1 - 0
Nardò
NAR
51%
25%
23%
443 271 172 +1
01 Apr. 2021
TAR
Taranto
1 - 0
Gravina
FBC
51%
25%
23%
442 272 170 +1