Grumentum vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Grumentum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 0
GRU
55%
22%
23%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2019 |
USB
2 - 0
GRU
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GRU
0 - 2
GLA
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
GRU
2 - 1
ASD
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
USF
1 - 0
GRU
87%
10%
3%
|
22 | 66 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 1
VIR
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
BRI
1 - 2
FRA
66%
20%
15%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
FRA
0 - 4
TAR
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
AUD
2 - 1
FRA
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
FBC
43%
24%
34%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |