Matese vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-67%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
SEL
0 - 1
MAT
10%
16%
74%
|
37 | 16 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
MAT
2 - 0
VAS
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
UST
2 - 2
MAT
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
PIN
2 - 0
MAT
33%
24%
43%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
REC
39%
26%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
REC
5 - 2
OLY
84%
11%
5%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
REC
0 - 0
CAM
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 3
REC
13%
19%
68%
|
35 | 15 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
APR
0 - 5
REC
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +2 |