Città di Varese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Città di Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 2
ASD
49%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 1
ASD
31%
23%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
ACS
1 - 1
ASD
24%
22%
54%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
ASD
54%
23%
24%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
BOR
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
PDH
16%
19%
65%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
CHI
0 - 1
DER
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
BOR
2 - 1
DER
37%
26%
38%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
DER
2 - 2
ASD
18%
23%
59%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
DER
0 - 2
GOZ
16%
22%
62%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -2 |