Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 1
VIL
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MES
2 - 2
CAR
51%
26%
24%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAL
44%
27%
28%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
LEG
3 - 1
CAR
46%
27%
28%
|
44 | 41 | -3 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 1
VIL
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
LEG
41%
28%
31%
|
36 | 41 | -5 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAM
40%
28%
32%
|
36 | 48 | -12 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SDA
5 - 1
VIL
47%
27%
26%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 43 | -6 | 0 |