Cartigliano vs Belluno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 2
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAM
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
TAM
1 - 1
CAR
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
0 - 2
MON
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Belluno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 1
STG
48%
23%
29%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TRE
0 - 1
BEL
39%
25%
35%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
BEL
1 - 1
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
BEL
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 0
BEL
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |