Cartigliano vs Belluno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 2
CAR
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 2
TAM
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
CAR
34%
23%
44%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
UNI
2 - 0
CAR
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
STG
84%
10%
5%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Belluno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 0
SAN
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 2
CAM
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TAM
0 - 1
BEL
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 1
MON
50%
24%
26%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
STG
1 - 0
BEL
16%
19%
66%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -1 |