Cartigliano vs Adriese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
45.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
3 - 1
CHI
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ACE
1 - 1
CAR
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
DEL
29%
21%
51%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VDB
4 - 0
CAR
46%
22%
33%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
4 - 4
CJA
44%
22%
34%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Adriese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SDA
1 - 1
BEL
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 2
SDA
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SDA
4 - 1
TAM
74%
15%
11%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
SDA
16%
20%
64%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
SDA
5 - 1
STG
86%
10%
4%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |