Cartigliano vs AC Este analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cartigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
DEL
0 - 2
CAR
39%
23%
37%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 1
MON
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
4 - 1
VIL
62%
20%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MES
2 - 2
CAR
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AC Este
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ACE
0 - 3
LEG
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAM
2 - 2
ACE
72%
17%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
ACE
2 - 0
SDA
30%
24%
45%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 1
ACE
57%
22%
22%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ACE
4 - 1
BEL
52%
24%
24%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |