Caldiero Terme vs Mestre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
55.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldiero Terme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MON
0 - 3
CAL
36%
24%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIG
58%
20%
22%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAL
30%
23%
47%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
LEG
0 - 0
CAL
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CAL
2 - 1
CHI
57%
21%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mestre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MES
3 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
6%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LEG
0 - 0
MES
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
MES
1 - 2
CHI
82%
12%
6%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
SDA
0 - 1
MES
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MES
2 - 2
CAR
78%
14%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |